.Europe's Record Heat Tied Directly to Climate Change

[wvit1001]

As 2014 comes to a close, Europe is virtually certain to lock in its hottest year in more than 500 years, and according to research by three independent teams of climate scientists, the record can be closely attributed to climate change.

The three groups, from the UK, the Netherlands and Australia, each using a different method, found that Europe should best its previous heat record set in 2007, and that setting that record has been made at least 35 to 80 times more likely by the manmade rise of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.

“All the groups are concluding there is a very substantial influence of human caused climate change on increasing the chances of setting a new record in 2014,” said David Karoly, an atmospheric scientist at the Australian National University and one of the project researchers.

The three teams in this project — from the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI), the University of Oxford, the University of Melbourne and the Australia National University — are working as part of a new initiative with Climate Central to examine extreme weather events and determine climate change’s role in them.

In the past,extreme-event attribution took much longer to determine, but the new effort aims to establish any link between climate and extreme weather events much sooner after events happen.

Extreme heat events are one of the signature extremes expected in a warming world, according to climate model projections, be they a record hot summer in Australia or a record hot year for any part of the planet or the globe as a whole.

And in general, the link between climate change and extreme heat is clearer and easier to discern than for other forms of extreme weather, such as extreme downpours or drought.


Different Methods, Same Conclusion

In this analysis of extreme heat, each team used different methodology and came up with slightly different numbers for the 2014 record projection and the likely role that climate change played, but all showed a heavy influence of manmade climate change on the recent heat records.

Globally, as well as in Europe, nine of the 10 hottest years ever recorded have all occurred since 2000. No annual cold record has been set in Europe since 1956 as warming is making hot years hotter and more frequent. No year has beenrecord cold globally since 1911.

This year has been particularly warm, driven largely by extraordinary warming in large swaths of the Earth’s oceans.

Of course, the world doesn’t warm uniformly. In the U.S., for example, the eastern part of the country has had a fairly cool year while parts of the West are on pace for record temperatures. And many other parts of the planet have been baking, including Europe.

Nineteen European countries are on track for their hottest year on record: Austria, Belgium, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, France, Germany, Hungary, Iceland, Italy, Luxembourg, The Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, and the United Kingdom. Sweden is projected to tie its record high.

As a continent, Europe is set to break its record by 0.3°F, according to new estimates made by Geert Jan van Oldenborgh at KNMI, and explained in the Climate Indicator Bulletin released by the World Meteorological Organization’s Regional Climate Center for Europe and the Middle East.

Van Oldenborgh used both modern and early temperature records, as well as sources like tree rings, which can act as a proxy for very old temperatures, to observe Europe’s temperature records back to 1500 and determined that 2014 will almost certainly be the warmest year Europe has experienced during the past 500 years.

http://www.weather.com/science/environment/news/record-heat-europe-tied-climate-change

[DaBoz]

Your brain is tied to your asshole,,,,,What total bullshit. BTW nobody cares.  What does that have to do with Man made Global warming.


Run away from another post fuckface

http://www.aesopsretreat.com/forum/index.php?topic=200714.0

[jst-the-fax]

 

[wvit1001]

Everyone's brain is tied to their asshole.  Our entire body is link together and functions as a unit boz. 

Why are you such a moron?

[DaBoz]

 What does that have to do with Man made Global warming.  Winter is directly connected to climate change also you fucking idiot.

You are nothing more than a troll that word smiths and asks stupid question because you can't cope with the topics, shit head.,

[jst-the-fax]

wvit,

This is your one allowed hawkwvitology post, on your mythology for the day!!

[wvit1001]

winter isn't directly connected to climate change you goof.  winter happens because of the tilt of the Earth's axis, nothing to do with climate change.

you really are a moron aren't you boz.

[jst-the-fax]

wvit,

But why are winters getting colder and summers cooler in the Northern Hemisphere?

http://denver.cbslocal.com/2014/09/02/climatological-summer-ends-cooler-wetter-than-normal-in-denver/

http://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2014/05/07/cool_weather_likely_to_persist_into_summer.html

http://www.cleveland.com/datacentral/index.ssf/2014/08/summer_of_2014_in_cleveland_is.html

[sweetwater5s9]

Climate change has been going on since before the Ice Age and since.  Warming thankfully.    You will be cold soon enough wvit...

[wvit1001]

are winters and summers getting colder in the northern hemisphere faxy?  I don't think they are and I don't know of any real scientific organization that thinks so either.

[Dan]

Europe's Record Heat Tied Directly to Climate Change

That's fantastic news.  That means they can expect to continue to have warm and pleasant weather for centuries to come!  That is good for productivity and will increase their standard of living.

[sweetwater5s9]

There is one solution with global warming for humans.   Care to guess?